Performance & Accuracy

Transparent, verified results from BetMind PRO's AI engine. Every prediction is logged — no cherry-picking, no hidden losses.

Performance last updated: Thu, 17 Sep 2026 01:00:40 GMT

Key Metrics (Last 90 Days)

Prediction Accuracy: 68.5% across 2076 settled predictions
Wins / Losses: 1422 / 654
Average Odds: 1.47
Average Model Edge: +10.3pp
Brier Score: 0.229 · Log Loss: 0.685 (lower is better)

Performance by Odds Range (Last 90 Days)

Primary range (odds 1.25–1.59): 71.3% — 1287 of 1806 settled

Odds Range	Hit Rate	Wins / Settled
1.20–1.39	71.4%	817 / 1145
1.40–1.59	71.1%	470 / 661
1.60–1.79	61.5%	75 / 122
1.80–1.99	49.2%	29 / 59
2.00–2.49	40.6%	26 / 64
2.50+	20%	5 / 25

Accuracy by League (Last 90 Days)

League	Settled	Accuracy
Eredivisie	34	85.3%
Bundesliga 2	27	85.2%
KNVB Beker	32	84.4%
Serbian Super Liga	28	78.6%
FA Cup	148	78.4%
EFL League Two	60	78.3%
EFL League One	58	77.6%
Championship	71	77.5%
EFL Cup	34	76.5%
Dutch Eerste Divisie	37	75.7%
Ukrainian Premier League	20	75%
International Friendlies	12	75%
Romanian Liga I	30	73.3%
Bundesliga	26	73.1%
Swiss Super League	26	73.1%

Accuracy by Market

Market	Settled	Accuracy	Avg Edge
Both Teams to Score — Yes	25	76%	+8.2pp
Over 1.5	401	74.1%	+6.6pp
Over 2.5	85	72.9%	+6.7pp
BTTS or Over 2.5	573	72.1%	+15.1pp
Home Team 1+ Goals	56	71.4%	+12.2pp
HT or FT — Home	53	69.8%	+10.4pp
Win Either Half — Home	59	69.5%	+5.7pp
Double Chance (Draw/Away)	185	67%	+10.8pp
Under 4.5	150	66.7%	+11.2pp
Double Chance (Home/Draw)	281	64.8%	+11.5pp
Draw No Bet — Home	16	62.5%	+6pp
Away Team 1+ Goals	21	57.1%	+7.1pp
Win Either Half — Away	20	55%	+4.4pp
Under 2.5	17	52.9%	+17.3pp
Home Win	60	48.3%	+3.5pp
Draw No Bet — Away	11	45.5%	+2.1pp
Away Win	33	36.4%	-4.2pp
goals_0_1	10	20%	+7.9pp

Model Calibration

Predicted confidence is a model signal, not a literal win probability. The closer the actual hit rate tracks it, the better calibrated the model. Calibrated accuracy is measured only from settled results.

Predicted confidence	Settled	Actual hit rate
0-9%	4	0%
10-19%	1	0%
20-29%	8	0%
30-39%	15	33.3%
40-49%	13	38.5%
50-59%	53	56.6%
60-69%	156	55.8%
70-79%	460	69.3%
80-89%	927	71%
90-99%	439	72.4%

How We Track Accuracy

Every prediction is stored before kickoff and matched against real match results. Accuracy is computed only from settled predictions (wins / (wins + losses)); pending, postponed, cancelled and void selections are excluded. Aggregates are rebuilt daily — see our performance methodology. Verifiable data is available at /api/public/performance.

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